The total world population of Wild Water Buffalo is almost certainly less than 4,000 animals, occupying an area of less than 20,000 km². However, these figures are little more than informed guesses, because any assessment of buffalo numbers is hampered by the difficulty of distinguishing between free-ranging domestic buffaloes, feral buffaloes, truly wild buffaloes, and hybrids between wild and other buffaloes. Individuals of Wild Water Buffalo and Domestic Water Buffalo are difficult to distinguish in some areas, and some domestic populations may be very closely related to (perhaps identical to) Wild Water Buffalo, as in Cambodia, where traditional forms of buffalo husbandry allow herds to range freely in forest areas (Timmins and Ou 2001, R.J. Timmins pers. comm. 2008) or in Kaziranga, India, where in the past cattle camps for grazing wild buffalos existed within the National Park (Choudhury 2010). There have been few detailed analyses of the purity of the presumed remaining Wild Water Buffalo populations, however a benchmark for the purity of the species remains a question. The Domestic Water Buffalo occurs as feral and domesticated populations worldwide, including in sympatry with most remaining populations of Wild Water Buffalo (Grubb 2005, S. Hedges pers comm. 2008). Some feral and domestic populations may well have conservation significance, retaining some of the genetic stock of the wild populations for that particular region, this may be especially true in Indochina because of traditional methods of Water Buffalo husbandry (S. Hedges pers comm. 1994, 2008; Timmins and Ou 2001; R.J. Timmins pers. comm. 2008); and continues to be a matter for debate in the islands of the Sundas and Sri Lanka, where prehistoric presence of Wild Water Buffalo seems likely, but the Holocene history of human manipulation of Domestic Water Buffalo severely clouds the determination of how to treat remaining populations of free living water buffaloes there.
In India a preliminary investigation comparing genetic traits of the northeastern and the central Indian population suggested that both populations to be related with the Kaziranga samples showing differentiation into three district clades of wild, mixed and feral. The Central Indian population showed no such distinctions (CCMB 2010).
Within India, Choudhury (1994) suggests that there could be about 3,300-3,500 animals in northeast India alone, although later he revised the figure to 2,800-3,000 individuals (Choudhury 2010).
According to Divekar and Bhushan (1988), the total estimate of Wild Buffalo population in Chhattisgarh (Central India) was 104, whereas an estimate by the Forest Department in the year 1986-87 was perhaps an exaggerated 240. Divekar and Bhushan (1988) estimated about 26 Wild Buffaloes were restricted to the Pillur meadow and Pengonda area of Indravati NP, 25 each in Pamed Wildlife Sanctuary and Udanti Wildlife Sanctuary in Chhattisgarh. Ranjitsinh et al. (2002) estimated the population in Udanti as between 42 and 44 with about 25-30 individuals in Indravati National Park. Mishra (2002, 2004) and Mishra and Kotwal (2003) estimated that less than 70 Wild Buffaloes occurred in Central India. There are presently eleven wild buffalo in Udanti with only one female (in captivity) and six wild males and one female calf. Therefore in two decades or so the population here has shown a massive decline.
The majority of the Wild Buffalo assemblage in India is restricted to the north-eastern states of India, with Assam accounting for most of the population spread across several protected areas of the state. The state of wild buffalo in northeast India is as follows:
Assam
Kaziranga National Park: Kaziranga NP constitutes perhaps one of India's most important Wild Buffalo habitats, harbouring the largest aggregate of the species along with a number of flagships, including the Indian one horned rhinoceros and the Asian elephant. Kaziranga NP, spans over 850 Km2 over three districts of Assam, and has approximately 2,600 individuals as per the departmental counts in 2011.
Manas National Park: Situated across two districts of Assam, namely, Baksa and Chirang, and covering around 500 km² of rich habitats, the park is known to harbour around 250 individuals reported during the 2008 census. The adjoining reserve forest areas bound between the national park and the Sankosh river in the west, are believed to hold an additional 30 or more individuals.
Dibru-Saikhowa Wildlife Sanctuary: Located along the Dibrugarh and Tinsukia districts of Assam, and spanning over 340 km² of riverine tracts and willow swamp forests, the park is thought to shelter more than 400 Wild Buffaloes, as per the 2008 census (Choudhury 2010).
Besides the above, several other areas in Assam have been reported to harbour Wild Buffalo herds, both in the past as well as in the present. Of these, Borachapori and Laokhowa Wildlife Sanctuaries have been found to harbour around 75 individuals (Choudhury 2010), while Pabha Reserve Forests adjoining Borachapori WLS also harbour dispersing individuals as well as seasonally migrant herds from Borachapori. Additionally, other areas of Assam, such as the Kadam Reserve Forests and the Dhakuakhana area of Lakhimpur district, were both known to hold small populations, but today are known to harbour only a few straggler individuals. In fact a survey in 2009 in Kadam Reserve Forests revealed only a single lone bull in the area. Additionally the Dum Duma Reserve Forests along the Lohit river, have revealed around 13+ Wild Buffaloes by Choudhury (1994), although no earlier records of the species’ presence in this area exits.
Lastly, a number of areas, including the discontinuous patches of forests and grasslands of Kollolua-Jokai, the reserve forests of Batabari and Doadhara, Orang National Park, Pabitora WLS, Gali, Jamjing, Sengajan and Kobo Chapori Reserve Forests of Dhemaji district, the Kakoi, Dulung, as well as the Sonai-Rupai WLS and Pabho Reserve Forest patches of Lakhimpur district, have all been viable habitats of the Wild Buffalo in the past, but have unfortunately lost all traces of the species over the recent past. A few of the above areas however, intermittently harbour either small herd of feral buffaloes of highly decimated remnants of erstwhile populations, mostly represented by few stragglers.
Meghalaya
Very few historical accounts of the presence of Wild Buffaloes in the state of Meghalaya exist. However, more recent reports suggest that small, low density populations may exist in the Balapakram National Park of the state as well as a few remnant herds in the Nokrek National Park. Choudhury (2010) has suggested that no more than 50 individuals possibly thrive in this part of the landscape, although more systematic species-specific surveys may be needed in these areas to confirm the presence of remnants of the true Wild Buffalo.
Arunachal Pradesh
A state with an unlikely terrain for the existence of the Wild Buffalo, it is nonetheless thought to bear a few individuals in the D’ering WLS and the Lohit Valley in the Lohit district of the state. Additionally, the Mebo Reserve Forests in East Siang district were also thought to have around 20-25 individuals surviving until the 1960s, although current status suggests that the species is now non-existent.
West Bengal
Although a number of areas in the state of West Bengal have been reported to have sustained several small subpopulations of Wild Buffalo, especially in the Jalpaiguri and Cooch Behar districts, currently no recognized Wild Buffalo populations exist in the state. The last accounts of the species from the state date back to almost 1928 (Choudhury 2010).
Bihar
The state is known to have sustained widely distributed populations of the species in the past (Ali 1927), especially in the northern areas of Purnea, Sharsa and Darbhanga districts. Although it is now recognized to have gone extinct from the state, post the 1960’s (Daniel and Grubh 1966).
OTHER COUNTRIES
Nepal
The only remaining Wild Buffalo population today in Nepal exists in the Koshi-Tappu Wildlife Reserve, with around 220 individuals being tallied in 2008, through a census conducted by the reserve authorities. Besides this, remnant populations were also known to exist in the Chitwan National Park until the 1960s, and also in Bardia National Park until the early 20th century (Heinen, 1993, 2006, from Choudhury 2010).
Bangladesh
While numerous supopulations have been reported to have existed across the landscape of Bangladesh over varied periods of time, today almost no reports exist of wild sub-populations or even population remnants. Earlier, several reports on the presence of Wild Buffaloes have come from Fardipur, Chittagong hills, Shirajganj, Dinajpur and Bhola districts. Interestingly, reports from the Mymensingh and Sylhet districts suggest that small populations may have survived up to the earlier part of the twentieth century as well.
Sri Lanka
Although the Wild Buffaloes in Sri Lanka have been suspected to have originated from feral domestic stocks, owing to the historical absence of Wild Buffalo populations south of the Godavari river in India, the remnant populations today account for a substantial population of almost 2,000 individuals. This aggregate, nonetheless, is isolated largely to the Ruhuna National Park, in the south-eastern part of the country (de Silva et al. 1994).
Bhutan
Some individuals (about 12) have been seen in Manas National Park (Rob Stenimetz pers obs.) and also in Phipsoo Wildlife Sanctuary (Kaul R. pers. comm).
Thailand
Thailand today is known to harbour only a small population of Wild Buffaloes. About 35-40 individuals have been reported from the Huay Kha Khaeng WLS in western Thailand (Rob Steinmetz pers. comm). Additionally, small aggregates have also been reported from Khao Soi Dao WLS, although currently no information on their presence exists from here.
Viet Nam
Before 1999, there was reportedly a population in Mom Ray, Viet Nam, but this population no longer exists (Do Tuoc pers. comm. 2006). Rumours still persist of presence in other areas, for example the Satay region (Tordoff et al. 2005, R.J. Timmins pers. comm. 2008). Wild buffaloes of the Cambodian population may wander into western Dak Lak province, but no recent records in Viet Nam have been confirmed to represent wild Water Buffalo (Le Xuan Canh et al. 1997, Eames et al. 2004, Tordoff et al. 2005, R.J. Timmins pers. comm. 2008).
Cambodia
Cambodia perhaps has the smallest population aggregates of the Wild Buffalo among the south-east Asian countries, although it was formerly excluded from the historical distribution range of the species. Camera trapping evidences of presumed wild buffaloes from four locations (7 encounters; 1-3 individuals per photograph) in the core area of Mondulkiri Protected Forest, west of the Srepok river in the year 2005 suggests that the species may be present in some areas (Timmins and Ou 2001, Tordoff et al. 2005, Thompson et al. 2013). However, ongoing camera trapping studies by WWF have failed to detect presence of any buffalos recently.
Myanmar
There is doubt about the status of with wild buffalo in Myanmar. Seems to be confirmed presence of wild buffalo from the Indo Myanmar border, along the Bulong river in the Sagaing state (Choudhury 2010). The genetic status of wild buffalo living in the Hukang Valley , north Myanmar is doubtful.
Lao PDR
The population on Lao PDR is extinct, but the date of local extinction is unknown (Duckworth et al. 1999).