Justification
This species is widespread and rare. Global level, species-specific population data are limited; however, coral reefs have declined globally and are expected to continue rapidly declining due to increasing severe bleaching conditions under temperature stress caused by climate change as well as a variety of other threats. Our species-specific vulnerability traits analysis indicates this species is highly susceptible to major threats related to coral reef degradation (e.g., disease and bleaching). We applied two analytical approaches involving two different global coral datasets and the species’ distribution map as proxies to infer population decline. Based on global coral cover monitoring data, this species experienced a suspected decline of less than 25% over the past three generations, or since 1989. Based on the projected onset of annual severe bleaching (ASB) conditions via both SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios of global climate model data, in combination with the species’ depth range, distribution and bleaching vulnerability, this species is suspected to decline by less than 25% over the next three generations, or by 2050. It is listed as Least Concern. The change in status from the previous assessment reflects updated declines calculated from improved data on modeled coral cover loss and projected date of annual severe bleaching, along with improved knowledge of species traits.
Geographic Range Information
This species is only found in the core region of the Coral Triangle from Borneo, Malaysia to the Philippines to the Solomon Islands. It also occurs in Palau (Randall 1995).
The depth range is 5-25 m.
Population Information
This species is rare (DeVantier and Turak 2017).
Species-specific, global level population information is limited. However, coral reefs are experiencing severe global level declines due to increasing water temperatures caused by climate change (Hoegh-Guldberg et al. 2017, Hughes et al. 2018, Donovan et al. 2021). For the purposes of this Red List assessment, we used species-specific vulnerability traits and two analytical approaches based on two global coral datasets to infer past (GCRMN 2021) and future (UNEP 2020) population trends.
Approach 1: Future population trend
The projected onset of annual severe bleaching (ASB) was applied as a proxy to estimate global level population decline. ASB represents the date at which a coral reef will likely experience severe bleaching conditions annually, and beyond which the species will experience a greater than 80% decline as it is not expected to recover (van Hooidonk et al. 2014). ASB is defined as at least eight Degree Heating Weeks (DHW) occurring over a three-month period within a year, and where a DHW occurs when the sea surface temperature is at least 1°C above the maximum monthly mean (van Hooidonk et al. 2014; 2015). We defined the onset of ASB as corresponding to 80% or more decline, however, this is conservative as other studies have found that coral populations may experience near complete mortality and are unlikely to recover with just two incidences of ASB per decade (Obura et al. 2022).
To calculate ASB for each species we applied spatial data made publicly available via a United Nations Environment Programme report (UNEP 2020) that used the 2019 IPCC CMIP6 global climate models to estimate the projected onset of ASB for the years 2015-2100 on a 27 km x 27 km grid according to the 2018 WCMC-UNEP global coral reef distribution map, which has a resolution to 30 m depth. These data are available via two scenarios of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP), with SSP5-8.5 representing current global emissions and SSP2-4.5 representing a future reduction in emissions (UNEP 2020). We applied SSP5-8.5 since it follows the precautionary approach recommended by the IUCN Red List methodology and SSP2-4.5 since it represents a more moderate climate change scenario that better tracks current policy projections (Roelfsema et al. 2020, Obura et al. 2022). To acknowledge varying levels of coral adaptation to thermal stress, both of these spatial data layers are available for all quarter degree intervals between 0° and 2°C (UNEP 2020); however, coral adaptation in general is little understood and varies by species and locality (Bay et al. 2017, Matz et al. 2020, Logan et al. 2021). To account for adaptation, we calculated two estimates of ASB onset for both the SSP5-8.5 and the SSP2-4.5, where the first estimate assumes the species has no level of adaptation (0°C) and the second assumes a capacity for 1°C of adaptation. We clipped each of these four UNEP (2020) spatial data layers to the species’ distribution and calculated the average year of ASB onset across all overlapping grid cells.
Based on this spatial analysis, the onset of ASB across this species’ range is projected to occur on average by the year 2036 for SSP5-8.5 and by 2040 for SSP2-4.5 assuming no level of adaptation and by the year 2064 for SSP5-8.5 and by 2074 for SSP2-4.5 assuming 1°C of adaptation. For species where the onset of ASB occurs within 3-generation lengths, the 3-generation reduction is calculated as 80% multiplied by two proportions: (i) the proportion of the species' depth range that is in 0-30 m range, and (ii) for widespread species, the proportion of cells within the species' range that are expected to experience ASB under SSP2-4.5 before 2050 (three generation lengths). We inferred that the uncertainty associated with the estimate of population decline based on 1°C of adaptation is lower given this species is primarily restricted to depths shallower than 30 m and is moderately susceptible to bleaching. For widespread species, the final estimate of decline was further adjusted by excluding the proportion of cells within its range that were expected to experience ASB under SSP2-4.5 after 2050 (three generation lengths), in order to account for the potential resilience of species to the asynchronous variability of bleaching events that occur across the Indo-Pacific. The relative vulnerability to bleaching (i.e., highly susceptible, moderately susceptible, or more resilient) is primarily based on scientific species expert knowledge. The application of the species’ depth range as a vulnerability factor is based on the assumption that a coral species with shallow depth preferences is more frequently exposed to extreme temperatures and might decline at a faster rate in some places than species that also occur in deeper, cooler waters (Riegl and Piller 2003), although this is not always the case (e.g., Smith et al. 2016, Frade et al. 2018). Ocean acidification, which is measured by aragonite saturation, is also considered a major threat to corals due to the impacts of climate change, however, the impacts are expected to be more severe in cooler and/or deeper waters (Couce et al. 2013, van Hooidonk et al. 2014, Hoegh-Guldberg et al. 2017). Although the exact threshold of aragonite saturation that is expected to cause significant decline is not well-known, in the Pacific, changes in aragonite saturation are expected to be most severe in high-latitude reefs (van Hooidonk et al. 2014). Therefore, this species is suspected to experience a projected global level decline of less than 25% by the year 2050, regardless of the SSP2-4.5 or SSP5-8.5 scenario.
Approach 2: Past population trend
Coral reef monitoring data were also applied as a proxy to estimate global level population decline. The Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network (GCRMN) compiled data related to the status and trends of coral reefs in 10 regions from 1978-2019 via the scientific monitoring observations of more than 300 network members located throughout the world. We applied the publicly available data on estimations of the percent of live hard coral cover loss at the 20%, 50% and 80% confidence intervals in the 37 subregions of the Indo-Pacific (GCRMN 2021) to estimate species population decline over the past three generations (1989-2019). The proportion of the species’ range that overlapped with each of the subregions was estimated using the Red List distribution map. The sum of the proportion of the subregional species distribution multiplied by the percent of coral cover loss in each subregion was then used to calculate the 20%, 50% and 80% estimates of coral loss across this species’ range.
To inform the choice of the best (i.e., lowest level of uncertainty) out of the three percentile declines, we considered 11 species-specific traits related to vulnerability to coral cover loss. Given this species’ depth range is 5-25 m and is predominately found at depths greater than 10 m, generalized abundance is considered rare, overall population is not restricted or highly fragmented, does not occur off-reef, is highly susceptible to disease, does or does not recover well from bleaching or disease, has a low susceptibility to crown-of-thorns starfish, is moderately susceptible to bleaching, has a relatively higher susceptibility to the impacts of ocean acidification (Kornder et al. 2018), did not have >10,000 pieces exported annually in the aquarium trade between 2010-2019, it is overall suspected to be highly susceptible to threats related to reef degradation. Therefore, past decline was inferred from the 80% percentile of estimated coral cover loss, resulting in a suspected global level decline of less than 25% since 1989, or over the past three generations.
Habitat and Ecology Information
This species is found on lower reef slopes and sandy substrates, especially with turbid water. This is a branching Pectinia species. Pectinia colonies occasionally reach 1 m or more in diameter (Wood 1983). Colonies grow up to 30 cm (D. Fenner pers. comm. 2008). Pectinia occur in most reef habitats, both in shallow and deep areas (Wood 1983). This species is conspicuous (Veron 1995).
While there is some information regarding the age in which corals reach sexual maturation, it is largely based on measurements of size as a proxy for age (Harrison and Wallace 1990), which can be problematic in modular animals because of processes such as partial mortality and fission (Hughes and Jackson 1980). Nonetheless, it appears that many brooding coral species tend to reach puberty at about 1-2 years of age, which is much earlier than many broadcast-spawners that become reproductive at 3-8 years or more (Harrison and Wallace 1990, Wallace 1999). Therefore, we assume that the average age of mature individuals on a given reef is greater than eight years. Furthermore, based on average sizes and growth rates, we assume that the average generation length is 10 years, unless otherwise stated. Total longevity is not known for any coral, but likely to be more than ten years. Therefore, any population decline rates for the Red List assessment are measured over at least 30 years.
Threats Information
In the Great Barrier Reef, Pectinia showed high susceptibility to bleaching (Baird and Marshall 2000).
Coral reefs are threatened by human and natural stressors at a range of scales. In general, the greatest large-scale threat to corals is global climatic change, which is linked to lethal seawater temperature anomalies, along with increased frequency and severity of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events and storms, and ocean acidification (Pandolfi et al. 2011, IPCC 2018), each a major threat to reefs in their own right. The most recent, and first, multi-year, global ‘bleaching’ event (spanning hundreds of kilometres or more) was from 2014 to 2017. Globally, 75% of reefs were affected by bleaching-level stress, with more than 50% of affected reef areas impacted at least twice over the period (Hughes et al. 2018, Eakin et al. 2019), and some localities experienced almost complete coral cover loss (Vargas-Ángel et al. 2019). The first global coral bleaching event was in 1997-98, however, this had also been preceded by multiple smaller regional and local scale bleaching events since at least 1982 (Goreau et al. 2000). While coral populations can be resilient to coral bleaching and bounce back (e.g., Diaz-Pulido et al. 2009, Pisapia et al. 2016), more frequent bleaching events in the future are expected to prevent full reef recovery and cause local extinctions of some species (van Hooidonk et al. 2016, Sheppard et al. 2020).
Localised threats to corals include over-intensive fisheries, coastal development (industry, settlement, tourism, and transportation), changes in native species dynamics (competitors, predators, pathogens and parasites), introduction of invasive species (competitors, predators, pathogens and parasites), destructive fishing (e.g., using dynamite), chemical fishing, pollution from agriculture and industry, domestic pollution, and recreation and tourism activities and global trade (Burke et al. 2012). Some of these threats impact corals directly, such as being physically disturbed and smothered with sediment during a construction project (Erftemeijer et al. 2012), while others operate indirectly via ecosystem processes and linkages between corals and other reef organisms. Macroalgae is a major competitor with corals that reduces growth, causes disease, prevents new coral recruitment and can tip the entire ecosystem into a less diverse and less productive ‘algal-dominated’ reef (Hughes 1994, Bellwood et al. 2004). Macroalgal levels are controlled by both bottom-up provision of nutrients (Fabricius 2005), and top-down herbivory by parrotfish (Mumby et al. 2007), hence while the immediate threat to the coral is be the algae, the ultimate threat may be sewage, fertiliser from agriculture or overfishing of herbivorous fish. The complex nature of the coral reef ecosystem means that while the immediate threat may be obvious (e.g., macroalgae, disease, crown-of-thorns outbreak), the ultimate threat is often less clear (Nyström et al. 2008, Anthony et al. 2015).
Coral disease has emerged as a serious threat to coral reefs worldwide with increases in numbers of diseases, coral species affected, and geographic extent (Ward et al. 2004, Sutherland et al. 2004, Sokolow et al. 2009). Outbreaks of coral diseases have damaged coral reefs worldwide with the most widespread, virulent, and longest running coral disease outbreak currently occurring on the Florida Reef Tract and throughout the Caribbean. The disease, stony coral tissue loss disease, has been ongoing since 2014 (Precht et al. 2016) and has devastated affected reefs along Florida (Walton et al. 2018, Williams et al. 2021) and throughout the Caribbean (Alvarez-Filip et al. 2019, Kramer et al. 2019). Numerous disease outbreaks have also occurred in the Indo-Pacific (Willis et al. 2004, Aeby et al. 2011; 2016), Indian Ocean (Raj et al. 2016) and Persian Gulf (Howells et al. 2020). Escalating anthropogenic stressors combined with the threats associated with global climate change of increases in coral disease, frequency and duration of coral bleaching and ocean acidification place coral reefs in the Indo-Pacific at high risk of collapse.
Localized threats to corals include fisheries, human development (industry, settlement, tourism, and transportation), changes in native species dynamics (competitors, predators, pathogens and parasites), invasive species (competitors, predators, pathogens and parasites), dynamite fishing, chemical fishing, pollution from agriculture and industry, domestic pollution, sedimentation, and human recreation and tourism activities. The severity of these combined threats to the global population of each individual species is not known.
Use and Trade Information
This species is not usually targeted for the aquarium trade, but other Pectinia species are, meaning this species may be intentionally or unintentionally traded under a different name. Recent CITES data (Murray et al. 2022 in prep) indicate that a total of just 10 pieces of Pectinia elongata were exported since 1985, with zero pieces between 2010 and 2019.
Conservation Actions Information
All stony corals (Order: Scleractinia) are listed on CITES Appendix II, and under Annex B of the European Union Wildlife Trade Regulations. Moreover, several countries (e.g., India, Israel, Jordan, Djibouti, and the Philippines) at various stages have banned either the trade or the export of CITES II listed species, which includes all stony corals. Other countries such as Indonesia, trade aquacultured corals, with various quotas and regulations in place to ensure the trade is sustainable. Having timely access to national-level trade data for CITES analysis reports is valuable for monitoring trends for this species. Consideration of the suitability of species for aquaria should also be included as part of fisheries management, and population surveys should be carried out to monitor the effects of harvesting alongside other population trends.
More research in the fields of taxonomy, demography, ecology and habitat status, reproduction and dispersal, threats, resilience, resistance, recovery, restoration actions, establishment and management of new protected areas, expansion of protected areas, recovery management, diseases, and pathogens would help improve recommendations for this species’ protection.
Ultimately the conservation of this species is dependent on the persistence of healthy reef environments, which will require ecosystem-based approaches to combat multiple human stressors that are degrading tropical coastal environments. Parts of this species’ range are within marine protected areas. Additional ecosystem-based actions include expanding MPA networks, enhancing MPA regulations with adaptive management techniques, managing watershed run-off and pollution through ridge-to-reef frameworks and conducting outreach and socio-economic research within the local community to ensure conservation actions are relevant and acceptable in the local context.