The Northern Chamois as a species is widespread and appears generally stable in the European region, especially the Alpine subspecies
R. r. rupicapra. However, many of the other subspecies are rare and/or declining:
R. r. balcanica: The total population numbers less than ten thousand individuals:
ca 700 in Croatia (Šprem and Buzan 2016, Kavčić
et al. 2021), less than 1,000 in Bosnia and Herzegovina (cf. Adamič
et al. 2006, Korjenić
et al. 2009),
ca 320 in Central Serbia (data from 2017),
ca 200-300 in Kosovo,
ca 1,400 in Montenegro (Đurović 2018),
ca 1,400 in North Macedonia (V. Maletić pers. comm.),
ca 450-600 in Albania (F. Bego pers. comm.),
ca 2,500-3,000 in Bulgaria (with the largest subpopulations in the Rhodopes –
ca 1,000 - and Rila –
ca 1,000; S. Avramov, pers. comm.), and
ca 1,500 in Greece (i.e. 1,330-1,765, with four populations numbering more than 150, the largest 380 and the smallest no more than 5-15; Papaioannou 2015, 2016a,b, 2020; Papaioannou and Kati 2016). In Bulgaria, the population size increased from 1,000-1,100 individuals estimated in 1997-2000 to 1,600–1,800 in 2005 (200-220 in the Central Balkan range, 450-500 at Rila, 200 in Pirin, and 750-850 in the Western Rhodopes; Spiridonov
et al. 2011).
R. r. carpatica: Following some fluctuations in population size (Şelaru 1997), chamois numbers in Romania have shown a steady increase from
ca 6,800 in 2008 to
ca 8,150 individuals in 2019. This has been paralleled by an increase in the number of harvested animals from 195 in 2008 to 443 in 2018 (A. Farkas pers. comm).
R. r. cartusiana: The population is currently estimated at
ca 1,500 individuals, with
ca 200 animals harvested in 2017-2018 (Prévost 2018). The population history is as follows:
ca 50 individuals in 1945, 250 in 1972 (Prévost 2018), 35 in 1977, and 67 in 1979 in the north-western nucleus of the introduced population (Rouland 1980), 150 in 1986 (Prévost 2018) and
ca 120 in 1990 (Berducou 1990). Between 2005 and 2016, both the assigned hunting quota and number of harvested chamois increased: in 2005, about 110 chamois were harvested out of a quota of
ca 140, and in 2016, about 180 out of
ca 200 (Chantreau and Gaudry 2019). The genetic integrity of the current
R. r. cartusiana population is unknown.
R. r. rupicapra: This subspecies comprises the bulk of the global northern chamois population, and is widespread and abundant in the Alps. Recent population declines have been suggested for some countries (e.g. Austria, Switzerland and Italy), but this is controversial, as there are large regional differences in population trends in all cases. The situation in Switzerland may provide a good example for the difficulties in inferring population trends from different data sources: In Switzerland, the total population size was estimated at
ca 91,500 in 2021. Compared to 2011, when there was an estimated number of about 94,200 chamois (Eidgenössische Jagdstatistik,
accessed 14/12/2022), this would represent a decline of about 3%. However, as there is no standardised method to infer population abundance or trends of chamois in Switzerland, abundance estimates are not validated, and suspected changes need to be interpreted with care. The number of chamois shot in Switzerland peaked in the 1990s (at 19,550 animals in 1994) and has since declined steadily. In 2011, about 13,300 chamois were shot, in 2021 about 10,400, which would correspond to a decline of 22% in ten years (data: Eidgenössische Jagdstatistik, 2022). However, care must also be taken regarding the interpretation of these data, as hunting regulations and hunting pressure have changed over the years. Reductions in numbers of shot animals therefore do not necessarily reflect population declines (Vogt
et al. 2019). While in some sub-populations, chamois numbers have experienced steady declines in the past 20-30 years, others have been stable or increasing (e.g., Vogt
et al. 2019, Willisch
et al. 2013; Willisch pers. comm). A similar situation applies to Austria, where trends in the number of animals shot has differed widely between provinces, while the overall population trend is still under debate (Reimoser
et al. 2019). In Germany, a population numbering approximately 1,200 animals today occurs in the federal state of Baden Wuerttemberg (Wotschikowsky 2010, MLR 2019). In the federal state of Saxony, few occasional sightings of individuals that belong to a border population in Czechia occur (Hertweck and Riebe 2009). The bulk of the German chamois populations occur in the federal state of Bavaria for which Wotschikowsky (2010) suggested an estimate of roughly 20,000 individuals in 2010. Current population size and trends have been debated amongst different stakeholder groups, which resulted in the initiation of several research projects to inform this debate, but results are pending to date. Robust population estimates are currently available for some areas. In Italy, the total population estimate is
ca 137,000 individuals, with
ca 124,800 outside (in 2014; Pellicioli 2019) and
ca 12,600 inside National Parks (Gran Paradiso 2019:
ca 7,000; Stelvio 2019:
ca 3,500; Val Grande 2013:
ca 800; Dolomiti Bellunesi:
ca 1,300; Italian National Park Authorities). Given annual population counts of 119,042 (2009), 120,400 (2010), 123,475 (2011), 123,666 (2012), 126,825 (2013), and 124,847 (2014) outside National Parks (Pelliccioli 2019), the number of chamois (including kids) in the Italian Alps appears relatively stable. Nevertheless, declines have been detected in some populations, particularly in high density areas: for example, in the Trentino sector of the Stelvio National Park, the decline was over 60% between the mid-1990s and 2019. In France, chamois abundance and distribution range have shown an increase over most of the overall monitoring period, although the total abundance may have tended to stabilize during the last 15 years (1988: 31,680, 1994: 55,570, 2005: 98,715; 2010: 103,345; Corti 2012; Barboiron
et al. 2018). Although the population expansion still seems to be ongoing at intermediate and low altitudes (Barboiron
et al. 2018), contrasting local trends have appeared in other areas, including some local population decreases even in national parks such as in the Ecrins National Park and the Vanoise National Park. Difficulties in inferring
R. r. rupicapra population sizes and trends also include limited economic and human resources allocated to absolute abundance surveys, and changes in survey methodology including the promotion of relative abundance indices (Loison
et al. 2006, Michallet
et al. 2015). Although this may fulfil the objective of making local surveys cheaper for the purpose of adjusting annual harvest rates, it may weaken the availability and accuracy of total population estimates (e.g. Jullien and Cornillon 2017, Barboiron
et al. 2018). In practice, such indices of relative abundance are only reliable when calculated over a sufficient number of surveys per year and over a sufficient number of years (Loison
et al.2006), which is often not fulfilled (e.g. Chantreau and Gaudry 2019). Partial participation of stakeholders further compromises the reliability of population monitoring, and corrections of biased abundance estimates in mountain ungulates (De Danieli and Sarasa 2015) also remain an open question in chamois. In France, actual harvest rates relative to authorized hunting quotas may have decreased for about 15 years (Saint-Andrieux and Barboiron 2022). It was particularly low in 2020-21 perhaps due to weather events or COVID-19 restrictions (Chasser en Savoie 2021, Saint-Andrieux and Barboiron 2022).
R. r. tatrica: The total population size is currently estimated at 1,200 individuals (860 in Slovakia and 340 in Poland, based on the mean population size for 2017-2022; Ciach and Pęksa 2018, M. Ciach and Ł. Pęksa – unpublished). Numbers of the Tatra chamois had declined steadily since the 1960s (Jurdíková 2000) from
ca 1,100 individuals to
ca 220 individuals by the turn of the century (Ciach and Pęksa 2018). After the period of decline, the population increased rapidly between 2000 and 2018 and has fluctuated in recent years, with current numbers exceeding the population size prior to the decline (Ciach and Pęksa 2018, M. Ciach and Ł. Pęksa – unpublished). There is an additional population of
ca 100 individuals in the Low Tatra Mts (Slovakia), which was established from 30 individuals from the Tatra population and introduced as a back-up population between 1969-1976. It increased subsequently and has persisted to date (Bačkor and Velič 2008, Zemanová
et al. 2015), although nowadays, this population is displaying high levels of introgression of the
R. r. rupicapra genome.