Cephalorhynchus hectori maui is distinct from the Hector’s Dolphin (Pichler et al. 1998, Baker et al. 2002, Hamner et al. 2012, Constantine et al. 2021). Every sampled individual (n=137) over a 21-year period (2001–2021) has been identified as the Māui subspecies based on nuclear markers and a single mtDNA lineage (‘G’) that has not been detected in any South Island Hector’s Dolphins sampled. The Māui Dolphin also has subtle morphological and coloration differences from the Hector’s Dolphin (subspecies), and these differences, taken together with the genetic evidence, supported the designation of the North Island subpopulation of Hector’s Dolphin as a distinct subspecies (Baker et al. 2002).
Although the range of Māui Dolphins is currently limited to the west coast of the North Island, that range is not exclusive of Hector’s Dolphins. Since 2010, four living Hector’s Dolphins (C. h. hectori) have been identified based on genetic markers, in association with Māui Dolphins in the current core of the latter’s remnant range (see summary in Constantine et al. 2021). Two females, genetically assigned as originating from the west coast South Island subspecies of Hector’s Dolphin, were present off the west coast North Island in 2010 (Hamner et al. 2014b), one of which had also been sampled in 2011, 2015 and 2020 (Baker et al. 2016, Constantine et al. 2021). Neither of the two male Hector’s Dolphins, one sampled in 2015 and 2016 and one in 2021, could be assigned to a South Island subpopulation with confidence. This suggests that they migrated from an unsampled subpopulation of Hector’s Dolphins, possibly from the north of the South Island, or were the offspring of parents from different South Island subpopulations (most likely the east and west coast regions). Such subpopulation to subpopulation movements have been reported previously (Hamner et al. 2012). In addition, three dead Hector’s Dolphins have been found on the west coast North Island, one each from the Kapiti Coast northwest of Wellington, Ōpunake in southern Taranaki and Clarks Beach, Manukau Harbour (summary of recent living and dead Hector’s Dolphins found on the North Island can be found in Constantine et al. 2021). To date, there has been no evidence of interbreeding between the Māui and Hector’s subspecies, i.e., no individual has shown evidence of mixed subspecies ancestry in the comparison of mtDNA or population assignment, despite substantial sampling effort since 2010 (Baker et al. 2013; Hamner et al. 2014a,b; Baker et al. 2016, Constantine et al. 2021). However, interbreeding is believed to be possible and may be discovered in the future.
Based on the latest abundance estimate from 2020–2021 (Nc = 54, 95% CI 48–66), which included only individuals aged one year or older, fewer than 50 mature Māui Dolphins remain. This is consistent with a series of synoptic genotype capture-recapture estimates of abundance showing similarly high precision for 2010–2011 (Nc = 55, 95% CI 48–69; Hamner et al. 2014a) and for 2015–2016 (Nc = 63 95% CI 57–75; Baker et al. 2016). All three closed-population estimates apply to individuals that were alive in either of the two sample years, so they are likely to be biased upwards due to mortality. Cooke et al. (2018) used an open-population model to estimate an abundance of 57 (95% CI 44–75) Māui Dolphins in 2016, using the genotype data from Baker et al. (2016). The 2020–2021 genotype survey provided an effective population size (Ne) estimate of 35 (95% CI 21–67; Constantine et al. 2021). This was unchanged from the previous estimate for 2015–2016 (34, 95% CI 24–51; Baker et al. 2016), but lower than the estimates for 2010–2011 (68, 95% CI 34–293; Hamner et al. 2014a) and 2001–2007 (69, 95% CI 40–168; Baker et al. 2013). The smaller size of Ne relative to the abundance estimate (Nc) is consistent with the expectation that Ne only represents the individuals in the parental population that contributed successfully to offspring in the next generation. A reconstruction of the historical abundance of Māui Dolphins, prior to 1970 when monofilament setnets were introduced, suggests around 300 individuals, although this varies depending on assumptions about distance offshore and entanglement rates (MacKenzie 2020). The Mackenzie (2020) estimates are similar to previous estimates using different models (Martien et al. 1999, Burkhart and Slooten 2003, Davies et al. 2008).
An individual-based population model fitted to genotype capture-recapture of living and beach-cast or entangled dead Māui Dolphins estimated the population rate of decline as 3–4% per year between 2001 and 2016 (Cooke et al. 2019). This took into account the effects of mortality from fisheries bycatch (including data from Roberts et al. 2019a), unspecified anthropogenic threats and deaths attributable to toxoplasmosis (Roberts et al. 2019a, Roberts et al. 2021). With detailed genetic information from about 115 individual dolphins (Baker et al. 2013, Baker et al. 2016), this approach was suited to determining the estimated risk of different threats (Cooke et al. 2019).
Genotype capture-recapture has shown that some individuals are older than 20 years (Constantine et al. 2021), which is consistent with the revision of the maximum age of Hector’s Dolphins from 20 years (Slooten and Lad 1991) to at least mid-20s (Gormley et al. 2009). Individual home ranges are around 35 km in nearshore waters during summer but individuals can range up to around 80 km alongshore, although they may be distributed further offshore in winter (DeFresne 2010, Oremus et al. 2012, Constantine et al. 2021). To date there is no evidence of population sub-structure (whereas there is such structure in the much more abundant Hector’s Dolphin subspecies; Hamner et al. 2012).